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Jobs Projections 2030

Three major forecasters—Bureau of Labor Statistics, World Economic Forum, and McKinsey—project massive changes ahead. Here's what they predict for American jobs by 2030.

BLS
+5.2M
US jobs by 2034
WEF
+78M
Net global jobs by 2030
McKinsey
40%
Jobs face automation risk
Industry-by-Industry: 2025 → 2030
Healthcare & Social Assistance
+8.4%
Aging population, chronic diseases → 1.2M to 1.5M+ openings annually
Professional & Technical Services
+7.5%
AI development, consulting, software → 1.1M to 1.3M openings
Information / Tech
+6.5%
Cloud, AI systems, data centers → Strong growth
Construction
+3.5%
Green energy projects, data centers → 350K to 365K openings
Transportation & Warehousing
+3.0%
E-commerce deliveries → 450K to 520K openings
Retail Trade
-1.2%
E-commerce, automation, AI → 800K to 720K openings
Manufacturing
-2.0%
Robotics, automation → 600K to 580K openings
Leisure & Hospitality
Stable
Persistent staffing challenges → ~1.0M openings
Fastest Growing vs. Declining (2024-2034)
TOP 10 GROWING
  1. Wind Turbine Techs — +49.9%
  2. Solar Installers — +42.1%
  3. Nurse Practitioners — +40.1%
  4. Data Scientists — +33.5%
  5. Info Security Analysts — +28.5%
  6. Medical/Health Services Mgrs — +23.2%
  7. Physical Therapist Assistants — +22.0%
  8. Actuaries — +21.8%
  9. Operations Research Analysts — +21.5%
  10. Physician Assistants — +20.4%
TOP 10 DECLINING
  1. Word Processors/Typists — -36.1%
  2. Roof Bolters (Mining) — -34.2%
  3. Telephone Operators — -27.5%
  4. Switchboard Operators — -26.3%
  5. Data Entry Keyers — -25.9%
  6. Foundry Mold/Coremakers — -25.9%
  7. Metal/Plastic Patternmakers — -24.4%
  8. Underground Mining Machine Ops — -22.3%
  9. Telemarketers — -22.1%
  10. Hand Grinding/Polishing Workers — -21.2%
The Reality Behind the Numbers

The good news: Yes, 5.2 million jobs will be created by 2034. Healthcare, green energy, and AI will drive massive growth.

The bad news: Most of those jobs require specialized training, certifications, or degrees. Entry-level administrative, clerical, and repetitive jobs are being eliminated faster than they're being replaced.

World Economic Forum projects 170 million jobs created but 92 million displaced globally by 2030. That's a 22% transformation of the entire labor market—the largest workforce shift since the Industrial Revolution.

What this means for you: If you're in a declining occupation (administrative support, data entry, manufacturing, retail), start retraining NOW. If you're entering the workforce, target growing fields: healthcare, tech, skilled trades, green energy.

The bottom line: Jobs aren't disappearing—they're transforming. The question is whether you'll transform with them or get left behind.

Data Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Projections 2024-2034 (Released August 2025), World Economic Forum Future of Jobs Report 2025, McKinsey Global Institute "Agents, robots, and us" (November 2025).